What is the Consumer Price Index (CPI)?

What is the Consumer Price Index(CPI)? The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the change in prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services. It is one of the most widely followed economic indicators, and it is used by investors to gauge inflation and make investment decisions. How is the CPI calculated? The CPI is calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The BLS surveys households across the United States to collect data on the prices they pay for goods and services. This data is then used to create a "basket" of goods and services that represents the spending habits of the average American household. The BLS calculates the CPI by comparing the prices in the basket of goods and services in a given month to the prices in the same basket of goods and services in a base year. The base year is usually 2000. How does the CPI affect investing? The CPI is an important indicator of inflation. When the CPI rises, it means that the cost of living is incre

Investing Habits of Individual Investors and the Fat Tail Effect

Locking in 5-10%: a common habit of retail investors

There's a common investment habit among retail investors: locking in profits when returns reach 5-10%. It's an instinctive reaction to avoid further risk and play it safe when you're guaranteed a return above the bank rate.


However, this behavior is not always correct, as it violates the principle of "going long on profits and short on losses." This habit can lead to small profits and large losses.

Investing Habits of Individual Investors and the Fat Tail Effect


Regret after you've locked in your profits

If you decide to sell when you reach 5-10% profit, and the stock price rises further afterward, you'll be left with a lot of regret and remorse. Especially if the stock price continues to rise after you've locked in your profits, reaching over 100% above the price you sold at, you'll be shocked.


In this situation, investors often end up buying back at the peak, and end up losing a lot of money. To avoid this pattern, you need to understand the concept of the "Fat Tail".


Understanding the Fat Tail Effect

The "fat tail" refers to the phenomenon of extraordinary returns beyond normally distributed probabilities. When this effect is understood and utilized, the large returns of individual stocks can significantly boost the overall return.


This is why it's important for investors to stay consistent with their investment strategy and not cut their losses when they start to make gains. Especially in a bull market, cutting your gains can lead to big losses, so you should look for long-term gains rather than chasing a locked-in profit.


Conclusion: Stick to your principles

When it comes to investing, the most important thing is to stick to your own rules and principles. Don't cut off a winning trade midway through, and let it run free. This way, you can take full advantage of the "fat tail" effect, which can significantly boost your overall returns.


In other words, when it comes to investing, it's important to look for long-term gains rather than chasing a locked-in profit. It's important to stick to your guns when it comes to investing, as this can be the equivalent of gouging the goose that lays the golden egg. Therefore, it's important to stick to the principles of investing.